Club Men's Probabilistic Bid Allocation
2025 Season

Overall Bid Allocation | Step-by-Step Breakdown | Team Statistics | Probabilistic FAQ

Overall Bid Allocation

Bids Region Total Contributing Teams
1 Great Lakes 1.01 Chicago Machine 100.00%,   Omen 0.60%,  
2 Mid-Atlantic 1.92 Truck Stop 100.00%,   Vault 91.60%,  
1 North Central 1.11 General Strike 49.60%,   STL Lounar 32.00%,   Sub Zero 21.20%,   Mad Men 7.70%,   Mallard 0.30%,  
3 Northeast 2.74 DiG 100.00%,   PoNY 100.00%,   GOAT 73.20%,   Blueprint 0.30%,   Sprout 0.20%,  
3 Northwest 3.06 Rhino Slam! 100.00%,   Furious George 97.90%,   Sockeye 91.60%,   Dark Star-D 16.90%,  
2 South Central 1.98 Johnny Bravo 99.30%,   Doublewide 99.00%,  
3 Southeast 2.91 Ring of Fire 100.00%,   Chain Lightning 100.00%,   Raleigh-Durham United 90.80%,  
1 Southwest 1.28 Revolver 100.00%,   Zyzzyva 16.30%,   SoCal Condors 11.50%,  

Step-by-Step Breakdown

Region GL MA NC NE NW SC SE SW
Initial 1.006 1.916 1.108 2.737 3.064 1.983 2.908 1.278
Autos (all @ 1) 0.006 0.916 0.108 1.737 2.064 0.983 1.908 0.278
Northwest (@ 2) 0.006 0.916 0.108 1.737 1.064 0.983 1.908 0.278
Southeast (@ 2) 0.006 0.916 0.108 1.737 1.064 0.983 0.908 0.278
Northeast (@ 2) 0.006 0.916 0.108 0.737 1.064 0.983 0.908 0.278
Northwest (@ 3) 0.006 0.916 0.108 0.737 0.064 0.983 0.908 0.278
South Central (@ 2) 0.006 0.916 0.108 0.737 0.064 -0.017 0.908 0.278
Mid-Atlantic (@ 2) 0.006 -0.084 0.108 0.737 0.064 -0.017 0.908 0.278
Southeast (@ 3) 0.006 -0.084 0.108 0.737 0.064 -0.017 -0.092 0.278
Northeast (@ 3) 0.006 -0.084 0.108 -0.263 0.064 -0.017 -0.092 0.278
Total 1 2 1 3 3 2 3 1

Team Statistics (Sorted by bid fraction)

Rank Team Bid Fraction Rating Uncertainty High Sim Low Sim Record
1 Truck Stop 1 2499.23 59.78 1 3 11-1
2 PoNY 1 2333.94 58.4 1 6 22-3
3 Revolver 1 2245.3 56.02 2 10 18-5
4 Chain Lightning 1 2211.89 48.22 1 11 18-7
5 Chicago Machine 1 2189.71 50.11 2 11 16-7
6 Ring of Fire 1 2180.66 66.97 2 16 14-5
7 DiG 1 2167.51 42.2 2 13 23-6
8 Rhino Slam! 1 2085.8 40.18 4 16 20-10
9 Johnny Bravo 0.993 2112.77 63.19 2 18 11-7
10 Doublewide 0.99 2106.81 84.16 2 19 15-6
11 Furious George 0.979 2057.44 61.49 3 19 20-2
12 Vault 0.916 2004.36 47.88 5 21 9-8
13 Sockeye 0.916 1999.88 47.57 7 22 19-12
14 Raleigh-Durham United 0.908 2006.62 54.79 5 21 22-7
15 GOAT 0.732 1972.27 67.49 5 24 12-7
16 General Strike 0.496 1936.6 119.31 2 47 10-0
17 STL Lounar 0.32 1909.35 61.44 8 30 18-0
18 Sub Zero 0.212 1865.58 91.16 7 45 15-6
19 Dark Star-D 0.169 1883.29 46.24 11 26 17-7
20 Zyzzyva 0.163 1860.21 70.78 10 33 14-7
21 SoCal Condors 0.115 1852.4 64.35 9 34 9-8
22 Mad Men 0.077 1757.27 121.49 7 82 6-7
23 Omen 0.006 1739.79 67.53 15 47 13-10
24 Blueprint 0.003 1764.52 53.64 16 40 28-8
25 Mallard 0.003 1728.26 64.18 15 49 15-9
26 Sprout 0.002 1745.77 73.65 16 49 15-11
27 Tanasi 0 1732.45 52.41 18 42 13-10
28 Delirium 0 1678.68 50.7 20 48 19-10
29 Garden State Ultimate 0 1676.12 65.31 18 55 12-9
30 Scoop 0 1675.57 37.85 21 46 18-5
31 Blackfish 0 1666.59 57.97 20 50 5-2
32 Trident I 0 1661.81 69.44 17 57 13-8
33 baNC 0 1644.34 54.42 21 56 23-8
34 Kansas City Smokestack 0 1641.9 55.59 19 57 17-7
35 Alliance 0 1627.37 35.1 23 49 28-5
36 Phantom 0 1624.98 59.14 18 55 11-11
37 Pittsburgh Temper 0 1624.71 66.29 21 60 6-10
38 Cash Crop 2 0 1620.37 44 24 58 19-7
39 UpRoar 0 1605.32 66.3 22 68 19-5
40 Red Circus 0 1585.84 67.73 20 68 7-6
41 DeMo 0 1563.65 60.71 26 68 18-10
42 Beacon 0 1563.24 63.34 25 69 20-11
43 Alamode 0 1556.94 40.22 28 61 21-10
44 Shrimp 0 1555.23 54.31 26 69 13-8
45 H.I.P 0 1553.51 65.38 25 81 20-11
46 TireBizFriz 0 1552.5 75.59 22 76 11-13
47 Oakgrove Boys 0 1527.68 45.74 32 70 17-2
48 ISO Atmo 0 1519.35 47.19 32 67 23-7
49 Colonels 0 1503.69 70.52 21 81 18-6
50 Little Red Wagon 0 1497.91 43.54 31 69 23-11
51 Fungi 0 1492.54 46.8 34 74 20-15
52 Skipjack 0 1490.71 52.27 30 76 13-11
53 Switchback 0 1475.77 47.21 36 77 14-15
54 Lost Boys 0 1465.93 48.39 39 78 16-14
55 Shade 0 1449.64 57.58 33 81 17-13
56 I-69 0 1449.32 54.08 33 77 25-8
57 Hooch 0 1448.57 44.99 35 77 16-9
58 Sawtooth 0 1443.15 43.61 39 78 10-13
59 OC Crows 0 1436.89 75.04 30 89 12-10
60 Brawl 0 1418.55 59.36 37 86 19-11
61 Clutch 0 1410.39 75.27 30 90 20-9
62 OAT 0 1399.46 38.34 46 82 19-10
63 Big Wrench 0 1395.01 49.96 40 85 13-13
64 Colt 0 1389.28 58.75 41 93 15-8
65 Knights of Ni 0 1385.85 48.84 46 87 17-6
66 Hazard 0 1383.45 63.09 44 89 11-12
67 Flying Dutchmen 0 1377.54 51.5 44 88 20-14
68 Haymaker 0 1377.16 56.97 40 89 13-12
69 BARNSTORM 0 1374.75 58.03 42 88 22-7
70 Drought 0 1374.11 54.17 44 91 15-14
71 Red Tide 0 1371.93 76.36 36 92 12-11
72 Lantern 0 1349.71 46.44 48 87 10-18
73 Red Wolves 0 1347.98 46.98 51 90 11-12
74 Pittsburgh Stealers 0 1327.67 66.37 46 99 14-5
75 Space Cowboys 0 1312.3 49.46 50 91 14-17
76 Ghost Train 0 1309.41 58.28 48 96 14-11
77 Black Lung 0 1302.74 55.83 51 98 20-13
78 Second Nature 0 1299.6 54.09 55 98 20-13
79 HouSE 0 1296.54 54.82 52 96 10-9
80 Helots 0 1294.88 60.01 53 98 14-11
81 Charleston Heat Stroke 0 1291.36 33.14 62 91 17-10
82 Magma Bears 0 1291.23 69.15 51 102 13-12
83 Texas Duffy 0 1282.15 47.52 60 96 21-9
84 Riverside 0 1278.58 46.82 59 96 21-9
85 SOUF 0 1255.01 59.56 52 104 10-15
86 Triumph 0 1212.73 48.05 66 111 9-13
87 Harvey Cats 0 1207.19 47.25 68 104 16-13
88 Scythe 0 1203.08 49.23 71 106 12-8
89 Dreadnought 0 1187.83 66.07 62 112 15-10
90 MKE 0 1182.41 63.68 66 117 12-7
91 Ascension 0 1168.78 49.99 69 115 12-10
92 CITYWIDE Special 0 1167.75 50.46 75 112 4-14
93 Bloom 0 1149.31 45.38 78 109 14-12
94 Bomb Squad 0 1144.34 57.26 74 117 16-6
95 Atlanta Arson 0 1143.89 55.96 78 117 16-12
96 Chimney 0 1119.57 48.64 75 119 20-19
97 Raptor 0 1111.59 52.37 78 120 17-11
98 Tennessee Folklore 0 1100.59 55.86 81 122 6-10
99 El Niño 0 1091.7 50 83 120 10-9
100 John Doe 0 1089.35 56.11 80 129 12-8
101 Lil Heroes 0 1088.43 60.61 78 125 14-14
102 Battleship 0 1060.92 55.61 86 123 9-11
103 Cowtown Cannons 0 1056.61 54.16 85 126 14-16
104 Nomads 0 1051.02 64.13 83 134 15-12
105 PowderHogs 0 1048.49 74.68 80 141 5-11
106 Foxtrot 0 1042.89 52.05 89 127 11-16
107 Diesel 0 1040.66 52.99 86 127 17-15
108 NOx 0 1038.61 54.3 82 125 15-12
109 BAG 0 1034.3 81.68 80 137 8-9
110 Dyno 0 1026.16 54.92 88 134 8-17
111 Trident II 0 1023.67 52.76 89 131 18-16
112 Queen City Kings 0 995.15 47.95 92 137 8-26
113 Hazard 0 974.12 73.48 87 142 9-8
114 Make it Rain 0 971.54 71.25 89 139 5-13
115 STL Moonar 0 966.77 75.57 88 142 9-12
116 Music City Mafia 0 965.1 61.24 94 139 9-14
117 Green River Swordfish 0 964.26 66.57 91 142 9-12
118 DINGWOP 0 940.12 82.04 86 144 14-12
119 Minnesota Superior A 0 929.49 129.51 68 155 5-6
120 Rawhide 0 927.02 50.25 103 144 12-14
121 Nashville Mudcats 0 926.2 53.48 100 142 7-19
122 Sprawl 0 898.87 50.96 102 142 11-19
123 Odyssey 0 894.28 67.27 102 147 13-21
124 NOMAD 0 889.95 54.28 103 144 13-11
125 Winc City Fog of War 0 889 54.21 103 145 13-11
126 Alibi 0 887.94 59.16 103 146 17-23
127 Choice City Hops 0 884.65 46.25 109 142 11-16
128 MOB Ultimate 0 864.78 59.43 102 147 9-15
129 Crossfire 0 859.38 41.59 112 143 9-13
130 Firefly TX 0 858.17 55.28 104 147 10-16
131 Enigma 0 839.67 55.21 102 147 9-17
132 San Antonio Warhawks 0 831.23 43.45 113 147 9-16
133 Sonoran Dog 0 828.2 49.9 111 150 7-19
134 Memphis Pharaohs 0 825.27 62.75 108 151 8-13
135 Crypt 0 824.16 80.64 97 153 9-9
136 Battery 0 817.3 55.64 115 148 6-11
137 JAWN 0 812.44 59.01 113 151 6-10
138 Timber 0 810.55 77.6 110 153 9-11
139 SUPA FC 0 789.39 60.87 117 151 9-15
140 Anchor 0 785.91 77.25 110 155 2-14
141 Town Hall Stars 0 754.3 61.29 115 153 4-14
142 Dirty Laundry 0 748.17 61.13 119 154 14-16
143 DCVIII 0 735.58 55.72 117 153 7-13
144 Minnesota Superior B 0 728.26 71.82 118 155 5-8
145 Texas United 0 697.04 72.33 123 156 1-6
146 Capitol City Chaos 0 696.2 56.85 129 157 1-19
147 Rochester Open Club 0 682.18 81.62 114 158 15-9
148 Spring Break '93 0 660.13 85.72 122 160 12-12
149 Shrimp Discs 0 652.03 65.59 123 159 5-13
150 Loaded Panda 0 642.29 68.46 128 158 5-15
151 Villains 0 599.94 56.24 137 158 1-6
152 Long Island Riff Raff 0 589.54 46.23 141 158 9-16
153 Stag 0 558.46 65.21 143 159 4-14
154 Supercell 0 532.83 93.22 127 161 3-14
155 THE BODY 0 531.59 64.95 141 161 2-20
156 Forge 0 488.24 63.84 146 161 4-15
157 Buffalo Frostbite 0 486.54 70.7 144 161 9-22
158 Mischief 0 466.63 67.28 146 161 5-18
159 Adelphos 0 374.59 87.4 147 162 2-9
160 Mohawk Valley Wild 0 327.36 98.86 150 162 3-13
161 Milwaukee Revival 0 200.48 225.8 128 163 0-5
162 Deepfake 0 49.62 94.47 160 163 0-17
163 Scoop 0 48.49 97.68 159 163 0-21