Club Mixed Probabilistic Bid Allocation
2025 Season

Overall Bid Allocation | Step-by-Step Breakdown | Team Statistics | Probabilistic FAQ

Overall Bid Allocation

Bids Region Total Contributing Teams
2 Great Lakes 1.71 Cleveland Crocs 98.90%,   Hybrid 71.70%,   Chicago Parlay 0.20%,   RAMP 0.20%,  
2 Mid-Atlantic 1.74 AMP 100.00%,   Rally 68.40%,   Loco 5.80%,  
2 North Central 1.88 Drag'n Thrust 99.70%,   NOISE 87.70%,   Kansas City United 0.20%,  
3 Northeast 2.91 Sprocket 99.40%,   XIST 99.00%,   Slow 92.90%,  
3 Northwest 2.95 BFG 99.90%,   Red Flag 96.20%,   Seattle Mixtape 92.90%,   Oregon Scorch 6.30%,   MOONDOG 0.20%,  
1 South Central 1.35 shame. 100.00%,   Public Enemy 27.70%,   Love Tractor 6.90%,   Waterloo 0.90%,  
2 Southeast 2.05 Space Force 92.50%,   'Shine 81.70%,   Toro 18.00%,   Storm 13.00%,  
1 Southwest 1.4 Mischief 71.30%,   Lawless 35.00%,   Polar Bears 31.80%,   Sunshine 1.60%,  

Step-by-Step Breakdown

Region GL MA NC NE NW SC SE SW
Initial 1.710 1.742 1.876 2.913 2.955 1.355 2.052 1.397
Autos (all @ 1) 0.710 0.742 0.876 1.913 1.955 0.355 1.052 0.397
Northwest (@ 2) 0.710 0.742 0.876 1.913 0.955 0.355 1.052 0.397
Northeast (@ 2) 0.710 0.742 0.876 0.913 0.955 0.355 1.052 0.397
Southeast (@ 2) 0.710 0.742 0.876 0.913 0.955 0.355 0.052 0.397
Northwest (@ 3) 0.710 0.742 0.876 0.913 -0.045 0.355 0.052 0.397
Northeast (@ 3) 0.710 0.742 0.876 -0.087 -0.045 0.355 0.052 0.397
North Central (@ 2) 0.710 0.742 -0.124 -0.087 -0.045 0.355 0.052 0.397
Mid-Atlantic (@ 2) 0.710 -0.258 -0.124 -0.087 -0.045 0.355 0.052 0.397
Great Lakes (@ 2) -0.290 -0.258 -0.124 -0.087 -0.045 0.355 0.052 0.397
Total 2 2 2 3 3 1 2 1

Team Statistics (Sorted by bid fraction)

Rank Team Bid Fraction Rating Uncertainty High Sim Low Sim Record
1 shame. 1 2167.21 81.55 1 7 22-1
2 AMP 1 2067.85 63.87 1 14 14-4
3 BFG 0.999 1959.6 45.04 1 17 19-6
4 Drag'n Thrust 0.997 2072.18 96.53 1 18 10-5
5 Sprocket 0.994 1924.96 56.13 2 18 26-6
6 XIST 0.99 1920.86 50.89 2 19 23-6
7 Cleveland Crocs 0.989 1936.51 68.33 1 24 21-5
8 Red Flag 0.962 1876.21 50.82 2 22 21-3
9 Seattle Mixtape 0.929 1874.03 58.5 3 23 17-7
10 Slow 0.929 1849.58 44.53 4 23 21-7
11 Space Force 0.925 1890.7 77.01 1 27 11-5
12 NOISE 0.877 1893.89 90.8 2 27 8-5
13 'Shine 0.817 1851.08 68.7 2 25 20-8
14 Hybrid 0.717 1823.85 62.53 3 26 13-8
15 Mischief 0.713 1830.88 76.88 2 28 15-6
16 Rally 0.684 1833.74 99.06 2 33 16-5
17 Lawless 0.35 1763.19 63.23 4 30 14-8
18 Polar Bears 0.318 1761.21 57.24 6 32 11-13
19 Public Enemy 0.277 1738.53 80.73 3 43 19-8
20 Toro 0.18 1737.48 57.54 6 35 9-13
21 Storm 0.13 1689.35 81.38 5 44 17-4
22 Love Tractor 0.069 1707.03 59.94 10 38 14-10
23 Oregon Scorch 0.063 1676.76 79.32 7 49 16-8
24 Loco 0.058 1670.85 74.07 9 50 14-7
25 Sunshine 0.016 1647.42 64.83 14 44 18-5
26 Waterloo 0.009 1615.31 72.39 13 51 19-9
27 MOONDOG 0.002 1648.28 48.77 15 40 19-11
28 Chicago Parlay 0.002 1637.51 47.18 14 40 19-5
29 RAMP 0.002 1622.75 54.6 16 43 16-7
30 Kansas City United 0.002 1595.15 67.88 15 46 15-7
31 Flight Club 0 1635.27 50.01 17 40 19-7
32 Mile High Trash 0 1562.85 43.63 20 47 19-11
33 Tower 0 1548.37 62.49 19 52 21-8
34 Impact 0 1517.09 65.15 21 54 11-12
35 BW Ultimate 0 1511.22 48.35 26 53 25-11
36 LIT Ultimate 0 1509.2 60.05 23 57 22-9
37 Pittsburgh Port Authority 0 1501.11 53.24 25 55 14-6
38 Lotus 0 1495.04 62.95 23 56 19-8
39 UNION 0 1491.86 66.38 24 64 17-5
40 California Burrito 0 1488.22 47.59 27 54 18-12
41 The Chad Larson Experience 0 1481.04 62.52 21 63 3-7
42 Dirty Bird 0 1478.32 67.07 19 69 17-8
43 The Buoy Association 0 1474.01 58.01 22 62 19-7
44 Wild Card 0 1457.53 44.25 30 59 17-16
45 Revival 0 1436.06 67.62 25 68 14-8
46 Darkwing 0 1419.5 64.66 27 66 12-14
47 Townies 0 1402.86 59.4 29 65 16-8
48 Donuts 0 1396.52 48.33 33 68 19-18
49 Jughandle 0 1393.45 69.83 28 74 9-11
50 Classy 0 1383.8 45.96 36 66 12-18
51 Roma Ultima 0 1354.1 52.28 37 86 19-12
52 No Touching! 0 1344.08 76.98 30 84 9-2
53 Garbage Plates 0 1342.27 48.74 39 69 26-10
54 Steamboat 0 1339.4 51.64 34 74 22-8
55 Lights Out 0 1311.04 52.78 41 75 11-14
56 Greater Baltimore Anthem 0 1309.03 62.09 40 80 13-8
57 Minnesota Star Power 0 1295.76 60.58 40 84 12-8
58 Malice in Wonderland 0 1294.25 49.67 44 79 19-7
59 Funk 0 1261.89 46.3 46 89 20-7
60 Pegasus 0 1259.42 58.1 44 89 11-12
61 Obscure 0 1250.38 44.75 47 85 9-11
62 League of Shadows 0 1248.69 46.62 46 80 15-20
63 HVAC 0 1244.45 64.94 42 94 17-5
64 Robot 0 1238.99 60.79 44 95 17-8
65 Heat Wave 0 1236.17 55.61 45 95 18-16
66 Too Much Fun 0 1217.28 52.63 50 94 18-12
67 American Barbecue 0 1214.93 48.23 50 93 13-12
68 Grand Army 0 1204.31 42.17 50 98 14-14
69 Grit City 0 1195.37 65.4 47 103 15-9
70 Northern Comfort 0 1194.2 58.54 50 100 11-10
71 Sego 0 1191.34 58.11 51 98 13-11
72 Cutthroat 0 1186.95 64 49 101 16-14
73 Bullet Train 0 1162.69 57.3 52 109 12-18
74 Deadweight 0 1161.64 47.59 54 104 20-11
75 Brunch Club 0 1149.12 64.47 52 108 15-7
76 Flagstaff Ultimate 0 1142.99 68.19 51 113 11-10
77 Seattle Soft Serve 0 1132.01 64.1 50 113 13-7
78 Buffalo Lake Effect 0 1130.22 49.54 57 104 19-13
79 Risky Business 0 1126.47 52.22 52 110 13-11
80 Mad Udderburn 0 1121.14 55.62 53 109 13-9
81 m'kay Ultimate 0 1119.04 52.35 57 108 15-10
82 Spectre 0 1108.62 62.56 55 115 14-12
83 Hive 0 1088.37 54.71 60 116 17-17
84 Brackish 0 1086.1 66.29 58 119 19-9
85 Three Rivers Ultimate Club 0 1085.54 48.03 61 116 16-10
86 Crown Peach 0 1078.61 58.41 61 127 13-9
87 Mango 0 1077.18 57.92 63 114 16-11
88 Scarecrow 0 1068.5 55.37 58 116 16-9
89 Bench 0 1067.59 75.42 55 130 13-6
90 Farm Show 0 1055.09 67.93 59 121 12-7
91 FlyTrap 0 1053.4 49.19 69 124 12-11
92 Igneous Ultimate 0 1045.47 47.13 70 115 16-13
93 Green Chiles 0 1044.26 48.33 69 116 17-13
94 Space Ghosts 0 1038.16 55.45 71 122 16-15
95 Bird 0 1037.54 60.59 68 128 20-9
96 Legion 0 1034.18 50.23 70 116 17-9
97 Ant Madness 0 1027.9 44.79 74 120 19-7
98 Columbus Chaos 0 1027.53 63.5 65 124 15-6
99 Bear Jordan 0 1027.09 53.87 71 122 13-9
100 Pushovers 0 1025.51 59.45 69 134 12-9
101 Lampshade 0 1005.42 51.98 69 128 18-16
102 Dizzy Kitty 0 1003.82 78.62 65 134 6-5
103 Shipwreck 0 1002.23 61.92 73 129 10-15
104 Queen City Gambit 0 997.8 64.82 70 134 16-9
105 Jabba 0 992.19 49.69 72 126 20-9
106 Mashed 0 983.99 59.05 77 127 11-9
107 Garbage 0 966.3 103.58 55 152 7-4
108 Amber 0 964.64 74.86 66 144 12-4
109 Magnanimouse 0 961.58 46.5 84 128 13-12
110 Garage Sale 0 933.16 58.33 80 142 16-13
111 Barefoot 0 931.7 60.55 82 142 11-10
112 Squid Inc. 0 915.93 65.46 83 142 12-12
113 Mousetrap 0 914.95 64.97 81 145 13-9
114 Zero Strategy 0 891.48 54.69 93 147 7-8
115 Stackcats 0 890.78 47.38 97 146 14-19
116 904 Shipwreck 0 873.62 82.99 77 160 7-7
117 Sin Nombre 0 862.83 56.65 95 152 11-13
118 Point of No Return 0 861.51 66.81 88 152 13-10
119 Skyhawks 0 856.02 75.23 85 159 9-16
120 Catalyst 0 854.77 65.87 91 152 8-9
121 Firefly 0 853.69 43.84 93 151 12-14
122 Karma 0 851.96 55.12 95 153 6-18
123 PS 0 844.57 55.01 102 149 11-13
124 Goosebumps 0 843.61 46.75 101 149 15-15
125 The Strangers 0 829.16 71.66 88 161 9-15
126 Madison United Mixed Ultimate 0 824.22 64.3 103 157 11-12
127 Heavy Flow 0 823.99 53.29 103 153 10-15
128 FLI 0 818.29 51.28 95 153 10-13
129 Verdant 0 810.39 59.15 104 151 9-14
130 ColorBomb 0 805.31 62.44 94 159 11-12
131 Toast! 0 803.62 50.3 109 155 11-14
132 Family Style 0 795.65 60.23 104 161 5-13
133 Memphis STAX 0 795.54 83.17 85 167 6-8
134 Moontower 0 794.6 55.97 110 160 6-11
135 NY Swipes 0 790.42 48.11 112 155 17-15
136 Mesteño 0 787.33 73.57 91 169 5-13
137 Lobrid 0 785.95 60.41 107 163 10-12
138 Pandamonium 0 785.85 85.67 86 170 10-9
139 Spoiler Alert 0 785.69 65.82 106 158 8-10
140 DR 0 784.62 47.2 102 158 13-12
141 Sunken Circus 0 771.74 62.55 104 161 15-8
142 Espionage 0 771.56 62.91 104 164 12-13
143 Prion 0 761.72 59.02 112 164 12-14
144 Indiana Pterodactyl Attack 0 747.33 61.5 111 165 11-14
145 Octonauts 0 731.99 51.67 111 165 9-16
146 Boomtown Pandas 0 727.04 68.1 108 176 11-11
147 Happy Hour 0 702.88 106.14 95 185 1-5
148 Choco Ghost House 0 690.8 74.38 105 172 9-8
149 Nebula 0 681.68 53.83 122 174 9-16
150 Philly Twist 0 655.55 50.95 129 170 6-13
151 The Force 0 651.87 56.31 123 173 9-11
152 District Cocktails 0 649.62 56.39 126 176 8-16
153 Eat Lightning 0 649.39 45.56 132 170 12-15
154 Frostbite 0 646.15 71.54 123 180 12-12
155 VU 0 630.66 58.71 134 175 10-17
156 Melt 0 620.06 68.8 123 181 10-12
157 Starfire 0 602.97 58.03 129 181 9-19
158 Crucible 0 600.41 50.79 142 177 8-17
159 2Fly2Furious 0 581.62 87.23 127 188 7-13
160 Great Minnesota Get Together 0 566.89 71.27 133 188 7-12
161 Rainbow 0 565.25 78.13 134 188 7-16
162 Drip 0 561.34 64.73 132 180 5-12
163 Thunderpants the Magic Dragon 0 556.64 99.73 121 192 6-7
164 Swampbenders 0 548.56 44.39 150 183 7-16
165 Springs Mixed Greens 0 541.33 85.21 129 190 2-15
166 Breakers Mark 0 539.79 108.38 118 191 1-5
167 MoonPi 0 531.91 59.16 145 188 6-14
168 Pixel 0 524.78 92.55 131 191 7-13
169 Spice 0 523.93 60.77 143 185 7-18
170 Air Throwmads 0 515.63 59.38 149 186 7-18
171 New Orleans Boil 0 504.14 50.89 151 187 6-10
172 Quahogs 0 480.8 74.88 142 192 8-14
173 Buffalo Brain Freeze 0 479.62 55.1 151 186 5-21
174 Piedmont United 0 469.97 66.28 151 191 4-14
175 Mastodon 0 463.36 56.35 155 190 10-16
176 ELevate 0 452.38 52.02 157 188 5-17
177 Lake Superior Disc 0 446.79 66.75 151 191 6-12
178 Chalice 0 444.91 88.93 144 193 3-10
179 Quails 0 419.03 107.18 146 198 3-7
180 Brooklyn Hive 0 405.07 48.71 165 192 2-19
181 Compost Plates 0 402.26 62.96 159 194 3-18
182 Flood Zone 0 376.91 63.01 159 193 3-13
183 Hairy Otter 0 375.26 100.66 152 198 3-12
184 Replay 0 358.97 54.15 169 195 2-18
185 Moonlight Ultimate 0 327.66 73.03 167 197 3-20
186 Scoober Heroes 0 310.05 100.36 162 199 3-15
187 Night Cap 0 294.9 82.23 154 199 2-14
188 Birds of Paradise 0 265.05 71.71 172 199 4-19
189 POW! 0 259.66 60.66 175 198 4-15
190 Equinox 0 246.42 135.48 152 199 1-3
191 Voltage 0 241.9 72.1 167 199 3-14
192 Mad City Vibes 0 233.02 68.43 167 199 4-16
193 Rampage 0 203.33 70.8 179 199 5-17
194 Central Arkansas Surge 0 170 126.99 160 199 3-15
195 SkyLab 0 142.38 80.71 179 199 1-16
196 PanIC 0 141.8 63.61 183 199 3-22
197 NYWT 0 103.75 114.66 160 199 1-11
198 Underdogs 0 84.14 67.3 186 199 2-19
199 Pickles 0 26.54 72.36 188 199 1-22