College Women's Probabilistic Bid Allocation
2024-25 Season

Overall Bid Allocation | Step-by-Step Breakdown | Team Statistics | Probabilistic FAQ

Overall Bid Allocation

Bids Region Total Contributing Teams
1 Atlantic Coast 1.46 North Carolina 98.80%,   Virginia 44.00%,   Georgetown 3.40%,  
1 Great Lakes 1.75 Michigan 97.10%,   Notre Dame 78.30%,  
1 Metro East 0
2 New England 2.04 Tufts 100.00%,   Vermont 100.00%,   Northeastern 3.70%,  
1 North Central 1.13 Carleton College 100.00%,   Minnesota 13.00%,  
6 Northwest 6.23 Oregon 100.00%,   British Columbia 100.00%,   Washington 100.00%,   Victoria 94.10%,   Utah 89.40%,   Brigham Young 69.80%,   Western Washington 69.60%,  
1 Ohio Valley 0.99 Pennsylvania 55.90%,   Ohio State 42.20%,   Ohio 0.30%,   Pittsburgh 0.10%,  
1 South Central 1.11 Colorado 100.00%,   Texas 8.70%,   Missouri 2.40%,   Texas-Dallas 0.20%,  
1 Southeast 0.03 Georgia 2.40%,   Georgia Tech 0.20%,  
5 Southwest 5.26 Stanford 100.00%,   California-San Diego 100.00%,   California-Santa Cruz 99.80%,   Cal Poly-SLO 99.40%,   California-Santa Barbara 98.90%,   California-Davis 28.30%,  

Step-by-Step Breakdown

Region AC GL ME NE NC NW OV SC SE SW
Initial 1.462 1.754 0.000 2.037 1.130 6.229 0.985 1.113 0.026 5.264
Autos (all @ 1) 0.462 0.754 -1.000 1.037 0.130 5.229 -0.015 0.113 -0.974 4.264
Northwest (@ 2) 0.462 0.754 -1.000 1.037 0.130 4.229 -0.015 0.113 -0.974 4.264
Southwest (@ 2) 0.462 0.754 -1.000 1.037 0.130 4.229 -0.015 0.113 -0.974 3.264
Northwest (@ 3) 0.462 0.754 -1.000 1.037 0.130 3.229 -0.015 0.113 -0.974 3.264
Southwest (@ 3) 0.462 0.754 -1.000 1.037 0.130 3.229 -0.015 0.113 -0.974 2.264
Northwest (@ 4) 0.462 0.754 -1.000 1.037 0.130 2.229 -0.015 0.113 -0.974 2.264
Southwest (@ 4) 0.462 0.754 -1.000 1.037 0.130 2.229 -0.015 0.113 -0.974 1.264
Northwest (@ 5) 0.462 0.754 -1.000 1.037 0.130 1.229 -0.015 0.113 -0.974 1.264
Southwest (@ 5) 0.462 0.754 -1.000 1.037 0.130 1.229 -0.015 0.113 -0.974 0.264
Northwest (@ 6) 0.462 0.754 -1.000 1.037 0.130 0.229 -0.015 0.113 -0.974 0.264
New England (@ 2) 0.462 0.754 -1.000 0.037 0.130 0.229 -0.015 0.113 -0.974 0.264
Total 1 1 1 2 1 6 1 1 1 5

Team Statistics (Sorted by bid fraction)

Rank Team Bid Fraction Rating Uncertainty High Sim Low Sim Record
1 British Columbia 1 2575.94 70.64 1 6 27-1
2 Carleton College 1 2568.81 133.26 1 13 23-2
3 Tufts 1 2488.77 99.41 1 8 25-0
4 Colorado 1 2328.58 86.53 1 12 23-4
5 Vermont 1 2289.71 101.37 1 15 21-5
6 Washington 1 2262.76 65.97 2 12 19-10
7 Oregon 1 2196.79 57.68 3 15 21-10
8 Stanford 1 2134.37 65.93 4 20 22-12
9 California-San Diego 1 2115.57 39.61 5 18 23-16
10 California-Santa Cruz 0.998 2041.54 45.48 6 21 18-12
11 Cal Poly-SLO 0.994 2083.14 69.06 4 24 26-12
12 California-Santa Barbara 0.989 2067.73 75.29 5 25 20-9
13 North Carolina 0.988 2122.91 94.08 4 24 25-5
14 Michigan 0.971 2113.92 104.61 3 26 20-4
15 Victoria 0.941 1990.7 55.97 8 24 13-19
16 Utah 0.894 2011.59 81.47 5 31 20-9
17 Notre Dame 0.783 1970.55 89.48 6 31 21-5
18 Brigham Young 0.698 1934.97 58.82 9 28 9-10
19 Western Washington 0.696 1946.41 79.21 7 31 16-15
20 Pennsylvania 0.559 1912.93 47.52 12 28 20-8
21 Virginia 0.44 1901.06 70.31 10 35 28-9
22 Ohio State 0.422 1893.06 80.42 8 35 22-8
23 California-Davis 0.283 1875.64 57.39 13 33 15-17
24 Minnesota 0.13 1823.12 74.58 12 36 16-7
25 Texas 0.087 1765.24 108.16 11 57 11-9
26 Northeastern 0.037 1802.53 62.95 16 37 16-12
27 Georgetown 0.034 1801 55.61 16 37 21-8
28 Missouri 0.024 1731.99 91.02 17 57 21-4
29 Georgia 0.024 1726.12 88.13 17 55 18-5
30 Ohio 0.003 1671.76 82.57 20 57 19-5
31 Georgia Tech 0.002 1651.61 83.17 20 57 23-7
32 Texas-Dallas 0.002 1553.39 103.05 20 72 9-9
33 Pittsburgh 0.001 1694.22 60.71 16 52 17-10
34 UCLA 0 1714.42 55.87 21 44 21-23
35 Cornell 0 1641.42 64.5 24 54 21-3
36 Wisconsin 0 1633.8 60.84 24 54 16-12
37 Haverford/Bryn Mawr 0 1619.05 75.65 23 59 22-7
38 William & Mary 0 1602.87 57.9 25 58 15-9
39 MIT 0 1588.82 49.9 28 57 12-10
40 Wesleyan 0 1587.33 91.11 23 66 20-3
41 California 0 1581.98 59.64 27 53 17-15
42 Southern California 0 1572.33 56.56 26 59 14-18
43 Duke 0 1565.5 66.8 26 60 23-9
44 Washington University 0 1560.35 67.86 25 61 18-7
45 American 0 1542.41 71.75 25 70 21-11
46 Carleton College-Eclipse 0 1538.86 77.82 26 68 14-4
47 Whitman 0 1505.02 98.18 25 78 16-2
48 Kenyon 0 1498.8 75.55 26 82 20-1
49 Liberty 0 1489.97 81.62 27 79 20-9
50 Middlebury 0 1481.68 70.6 30 74 20-2
51 Oregon State 0 1472.23 62.21 32 72 16-13
52 Maryland 0 1457.11 64.88 34 76 17-14
53 Colorado State 0 1452.17 68.47 32 70 3-15
54 St Olaf 0 1441.22 96.63 29 92 14-10
55 Rochester 0 1421.74 51.11 42 70 19-4
56 James Madison 0 1406.04 63.47 36 78 13-12
57 Davenport 0 1403.13 79.44 32 86 19-1
58 Central Florida 0 1397.07 81.83 27 93 14-7
59 South Carolina 0 1384.98 66.24 39 83 12-12
60 British Columbia-B 0 1378.04 58.38 44 77 6-9
61 Brown 0 1351.28 39.84 47 79 13-14
62 Chicago 0 1344.44 86.5 31 94 16-9
63 Connecticut 0 1319.82 57.67 45 88 17-9
64 Florida 0 1319.34 73.15 43 100 15-7
65 Illinois 0 1308.53 61.63 49 92 21-9
66 Lewis & Clark 0 1297.81 82.91 43 96 12-5
67 Santa Clara 0 1296.47 50.62 51 89 16-12
68 North Carolina State 0 1294.32 71.39 47 96 9-13
69 Carnegie Mellon 0 1279.15 58.78 52 91 11-14
70 Union (Tennessee) 0 1270.35 69.89 42 99 11-1
71 Purdue 0 1260.94 76.81 46 104 13-9
72 Colorado College 0 1260.16 79.16 47 104 17-7
73 Penn State 0 1259.73 58.77 52 98 13-17
74 Mount Holyoke 0 1222.8 47.89 59 98 12-5
75 Columbia 0 1219.45 68.44 55 109 13-12
76 Grand Canyon 0 1216.4 70.32 50 106 13-5
77 Appalachian State 0 1215.16 73.19 51 112 15-13
78 Portland 0 1206.76 70.9 53 113 13-11
79 Case Western Reserve 0 1201.55 72.15 54 110 10-13
80 Tennessee 0 1196.93 64.38 60 107 21-8
81 California-Irvine 0 1190.17 47.82 60 102 23-12
82 Clemson 0 1163.67 73.5 52 119 12-6
83 Richmond 0 1148.86 67.67 59 111 12-5
84 Wellesley 0 1143.84 55.26 65 108 19-7
85 Vermont-B 0 1139.79 60.84 63 113 12-7
86 Michigan Tech 0 1133.92 63.49 64 113 12-7
87 Rice 0 1127.4 73.01 64 118 12-6
88 Williams 0 1118.74 54.74 68 109 20-8
89 SUNY-Buffalo 0 1116.34 60.62 65 114 18-8
90 NYU 0 1111.74 72.02 65 120 16-8
91 Iowa State 0 1111.73 63.15 68 117 18-12
92 Ithaca 0 1094.08 45.89 72 113 14-10
93 Marquette 0 1094.02 95.89 59 134 8-6
94 Arkansas 0 1091.69 87.22 56 129 7-6
95 Lehigh 0 1090.28 62.02 68 117 15-17
96 Wisconsin-Eau Claire 0 1085.78 76.23 64 122 13-9
97 Emory 0 1075.33 60.12 64 121 15-11
98 Macalester 0 1054.48 96.24 59 139 13-7
99 Virginia Tech 0 1049.35 53.84 76 119 6-16
100 Yale 0 1041.01 68.65 71 129 11-13
101 San Diego State 0 1035.81 52.68 76 123 15-12
102 Montana 0 1028.43 103.46 57 144 7-9
103 Denver 0 1027.31 57.28 74 125 15-8
104 Alabama-Huntsville 0 1023.86 194.34 32 185 1-3
105 Temple 0 1021.69 64.64 73 128 5-16
106 Michigan State 0 1006.03 70.96 77 133 13-11
107 Kansas 0 998.48 101.15 67 163 6-7
108 SUNY-Binghamton 0 970.18 60.66 77 130 14-14
109 West Chester 0 951.97 65.43 81 141 4-16
110 Arizona State 0 951.81 56.25 85 134 16-14
111 Cedarville 0 947.08 47.33 90 128 13-8
112 Puget Sound 0 943.82 53.39 90 137 8-9
113 Northwestern 0 939.88 67.64 86 140 10-19
114 Swarthmore 0 939.23 54.79 87 135 13-11
115 Brown-B 0 937.46 79.15 74 151 11-6
116 Loyola-Chicago 0 928.79 87.92 79 158 12-11
117 Cincinnati 0 911.56 57.96 91 143 12-12
118 California-San Diego-B 0 910.49 68.52 90 153 17-13
119 Jacksonville State 0 885.74 49.04 98 138 9-8
120 Georgia College 0 856.15 53.95 104 149 7-8
121 North Carolina-Wilmington 0 847.29 56.15 104 149 11-24
122 Butler 0 845.17 82.89 92 160 7-5
123 Winona State 0 844.6 56.33 106 159 14-11
124 Harvard 0 833.28 82.13 97 163 9-14
125 Iowa 0 826.07 93.1 94 171 12-10
126 Grand Valley 0 814.79 60.05 106 157 11-13
127 Northern Arizona 0 813.01 99.07 85 177 4-8
128 Claremont 0 811.23 65.53 101 162 11-10
129 Trinity 0 802.96 47.59 111 152 10-12
130 Massachusetts 0 798.22 86.34 101 179 9-12
131 Rutgers 0 792.75 63.71 108 164 13-15
132 George Washington 0 791.3 62.5 102 159 9-13
133 Stanford-B 0 742.26 121.45 91 190 1-5
134 Saint Louis 0 737.53 91.29 107 179 7-11
135 Catholic 0 734.02 65.87 105 171 6-11
136 Utah State 0 731.85 180.89 66 212 4-4
137 California-B 0 726.7 95.9 102 184 5-6
138 Knox 0 725.69 66.65 110 178 8-10
139 Wisconsin-La Crosse 0 724.19 79.75 109 180 9-14
140 Claremont-B 0 724.06 161.31 71 205 1-2
141 Boston University 0 722.6 88.56 107 181 7-14
142 Dartmouth 0 708.43 93.12 101 183 6-9
143 Davidson 0 704.52 52.82 121 170 11-8
144 Boston College 0 693.33 83.66 104 182 6-17
145 North Carolina-B 0 689.22 73.45 118 179 10-9
146 Tufts-B 0 681.83 84.07 110 188 2-3
147 Xavier 0 677.47 60.61 118 177 10-11
148 Berry 0 677.43 76.58 114 182 8-9
149 Georgia Southern 0 673.6 56.57 120 174 9-15
150 Bates 0 671.73 58.17 125 184 7-13
151 Charleston 0 665 65.66 121 186 8-17
152 Syracuse 0 663.44 53.11 124 176 10-15
153 Colby 0 659.88 75.17 120 182 4-10
154 SUNY-Geneseo 0 646.31 57.1 129 179 8-17
155 Alabama 0 640.88 92.12 114 190 7-7
156 Cal Poly-SLO-B 0 630.95 73.99 121 189 7-14
157 East Carolina 0 625.91 84.22 122 187 5-6
158 Montana State 0 622.57 132.87 97 208 4-11
159 Delaware 0 609.22 58.07 124 184 8-5
160 Miami (Florida) 0 609.04 47.15 136 180 16-15
161 Pacific Lutheran 0 603 69.88 129 190 5-10
162 Florida State 0 599.77 59.57 124 187 12-11
163 New Hampshire 0 581.93 50.05 139 184 8-20
164 RIT 0 581.8 121.88 113 216 2-7
165 Tulane 0 572.18 78.85 126 191 8-5
166 Nevada-Reno 0 555.8 87.89 124 198 5-12
167 George Mason 0 543.78 50.1 141 190 6-6
168 Michigan-B 0 542.67 79.37 130 194 9-13
169 Arizona 0 532.91 55.52 141 191 6-14
170 Vermont-C 0 525.76 42.69 153 186 4-7
171 Occidental 0 525.62 83.59 133 198 5-6
172 Skidmore 0 521.4 66.86 140 192 10-12
173 SUNY-Stony Brook 0 518.93 49.92 150 190 4-15
174 Missouri State 0 495.17 174.88 102 218 1-4
175 Wake Forest 0 494.81 99.18 132 210 3-9
176 Colorado-B 0 493.36 95.93 134 204 3-12
177 LSU 0 490.29 60.11 147 198 12-13
178 Colorado Mines 0 470.45 98.94 135 205 5-5
179 St Olaf-B 0 470.42 80.29 142 204 4-15
180 California-Davis-B 0 468.66 100.23 130 210 1-5
181 Minnesota-B 0 467.82 246.02 63 230 3-6
182 UCLA-B 0 462.49 58.51 148 196 10-13
183 Indiana 0 454.59 82.3 147 205 8-10
184 Harding 0 454.21 153.03 108 226 3-4
185 Oberlin 0 440.83 81.39 151 205 1-16
186 Truman State 0 433.99 62.59 152 201 8-17
187 Messiah 0 396.79 186.27 104 227 1-3
188 Tennessee-Chattanooga 0 395.01 70.04 157 207 7-16
189 Texas A&M 0 348.05 91.15 159 220 3-8
190 Towson 0 301.29 130.62 153 224 4-8
191 Vanderbilt 0 280.82 70.81 170 218 9-17
192 Georgetown-B 0 274.31 80.24 168 219 6-7
193 Georgia-B 0 272.62 83.7 146 220 4-18
194 Dayton 0 268.9 106.33 160 224 4-8
195 Washington University-B 0 262.07 82.97 172 222 4-13
196 Texas State 0 241.47 11.81 190 207 0-2
197 Cal Poly-Humboldt 0 220.06 145.38 128 227 2-15
198 Florida Tech 0 216.79 79.13 176 224 5-12
199 Cal State-Long Beach 0 216.03 109.86 170 225 5-17
200 California-Santa Barbara-B 0 206.57 105.95 168 227 1-5
201 Dickinson 0 205.15 101.01 169 225 3-13
202 Washington-B 0 195.47 148.47 163 230 2-8
203 South Carolina-B 0 187.46 104.95 168 226 4-9
204 Carleton College-C 0 180.25 134.34 159 229 2-4
205 Elon 0 165.12 88.19 178 225 1-9
206 Georgia Tech-B 0 163.98 189.45 140 231 1-5
207 Johns Hopkins 0 155.69 111.71 169 230 3-9
208 Northeastern-B 0 131.39 85.19 188 227 1-14
209 Auburn 0 124.76 76.32 187 229 3-17
210 Cornell-B 0 120.39 101.52 184 229 1-9
211 Miami (Ohio) 0 108.1 172.54 160 232 2-8
212 Florida-B 0 83.7 78.5 187 227 2-18
213 William & Mary-B 0 75.82 93.59 180 229 2-11
214 Connecticut College 0 75.32 131.81 173 230 0-9
215 Utah-B 0 60.9 174.38 145 231 0-11
216 Arizona-B 0 40.86 138.78 181 231 0-6
217 Columbia-B 0 40.54 115.1 181 231 1-9
218 Pennsylvania-B 0 35.03 174.17 128 232 0-11
219 Wisconsin-B 0 26.43 91.03 188 230 0-10
220 Notre Dame-B 0 20.99 119.16 182 230 2-15
221 Alabama-Birmingham 0 16.96 47.99 203 228 1-3
222 California-San Diego-C 0 -25.95 101.46 192 231 3-20
223 Lewis & Clark -B 0 -38.61 303.77 96 232 0-6
224 Colorado College-B 0 -46.09 133.98 184 232 0-10
225 American-B 0 -60.35 97.39 193 231 4-15
226 Northwestern-B 0 -91.05 185.04 183 232 0-9
227 Purdue-B 0 -114.02 107.75 187 232 1-17
228 Texas-B 0 -135.46 218.46 143 232 0-11
229 John Brown 0 -165.86 288.75 154 232 0-4
230 Emory-B 0 -313.98 207.05 183 232 0-17
231 Virginia-B 0 -409.58 275.73 173 232 0-12
232 Southern California-B 0 -563.96 198.94 218 232 0-7